{"id":16461,"date":"2023-04-13T11:26:21","date_gmt":"2023-04-13T17:26:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/?p=16461"},"modified":"2023-04-18T10:33:09","modified_gmt":"2023-04-18T16:33:09","slug":"the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/fr\/the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency\/","title":{"rendered":"Le S\u00faper Peso et une visite historique de la monnaie mexicaine"},"content":{"rendered":"

Un bref retour en arri\u00e8re sur 70 ans de fluctuations des taux de change r\u00e9v\u00e8le un sch\u00e9ma qui s'inscrit dans la tapisserie du peso mexicain.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le peso mexicain a connu une histoire mouvement\u00e9e par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain. Des p\u00e9riodes de stabilit\u00e9 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 suivies par des p\u00e9riodes de grandes turbulences - et les d\u00e9valuations qui en ont r\u00e9sult\u00e9 - suivies par des reprises et une stabilisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une ironie - les \u00e9conomistes diraient corollaire - est que les seules p\u00e9riodes d'appr\u00e9ciation du peso par rapport au dollar ont eu lieu au cours des d\u00e9cennies o\u00f9 il a pu flotter librement, sans contr\u00f4le des changes, avec peu ou pas de contr\u00f4le des prix sur le march\u00e9 int\u00e9rieur, et sans restrictions sur le retrait des capitaux ou des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Des taux de change contr\u00f4l\u00e9s aux monnaies flottantes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Au cours des sept derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies, les gouvernements ont appliqu\u00e9 diff\u00e9rentes mesures pour g\u00e9rer le taux de change du peso, en fonction de leur perception des besoins du pays \u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De 1954 \u00e0 1976, le peso mexicain a \u00e9t\u00e9 maintenu \u00e0 un taux fixe de 12,50 (anciens pesos<\/a>) par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A d\u00e9valuation en 1976<\/a> a \u00e9t\u00e9 suivie d'une longue p\u00e9riode de contr\u00f4les des changes diff\u00e9rents, comprenant tant\u00f4t des restrictions pures et simples, tant\u00f4t des taux multiples, ainsi qu'un syst\u00e8me de \"fourchettes de taux de change\" permettant une d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation r\u00e9guli\u00e8re mais progressive de la monnaie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une s\u00e9rie continue de d\u00e9valuations \u00e0 la fin des ann\u00e9es 1970 et dans les ann\u00e9es 1980 - certaines importantes, d'autres contr\u00f4l\u00e9es - a abouti \u00e0 une baisse des prix de l'\u00e9nergie. explosion \u00e9conomique<\/a> en d\u00e9cembre 1994, lorsque les r\u00e9serves du pays ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9puis\u00e9es \u00e0 la suite d'une ann\u00e9e de fuite des capitaux, ce qui a conduit \u00e0 un taux de change flottant qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 maintenu depuis lors, la banque centrale n'intervenant qu'en cas de difficult\u00e9s sur les march\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le peso mexicain de la fin des ann\u00e9es 1990 \u00e0 2010<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Apr\u00e8s avoir bri\u00e8vement atteint 11,50 pour un dollar \u00e0 la fin des ann\u00e9es 1990, le peso a connu plusieurs ann\u00e9es de hauts et de bas, revenant \u00e0 moins de 10 pour un dollar juste avant la crise \u00e9conomique mondiale de 2008. Cette crise \u00e9tant n\u00e9e aux \u00c9tats-Unis, elle a eu un impact beaucoup plus important sur le Mexique que sur d'autres pays dont les liens commerciaux et d'investissement sont moins nombreux (ou moins importants).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La valeur de la monnaie s'est effondr\u00e9e en ao\u00fbt 2008, passant de 10 \u00e0 plus de 15 pesos pour un dollar en mars 2009, car les investisseurs ont vendu des actions et des obligations mexicaines, souvent pour obtenir des liquidit\u00e9s afin de les convertir en dollars pour faire face \u00e0 d'autres obligations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La d\u00e9cennie 2010-2020<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Le Mexique a surv\u00e9cu \u00e0 la crise de 2008 en grande partie intact, et en octobre 2010, le peso a r\u00e9cup\u00e9r\u00e9 environ la moiti\u00e9 de sa valeur perdue, s'\u00e9changeant \u00e0 environ 12,50 pour un dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De 2011 \u00e0 2014, la monnaie s'est stabilis\u00e9e et s'est \u00e9chang\u00e9e dans une fourchette de 13 \u00e0 14 pesos pour un dollar ; mais \u00e0 la fin de l'\u00e9t\u00e9 2014, le peso a recommenc\u00e9 \u00e0 baisser et, en novembre de la m\u00eame ann\u00e9e, il a franchi le niveau psychologiquement significatif de \"20 pour 1\".<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le peso a continu\u00e9 \u00e0 s'affaiblir en 2015 et 2016 et, apr\u00e8s avoir bri\u00e8vement touch\u00e9 un nouveau point bas de 21,50 en janvier 2017, il a entam\u00e9 une remont\u00e9e vigoureuse et, en septembre 2017, il s'\u00e9changeait \u00e0 environ 17,60 sur les march\u00e9s des changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La monnaie s'est ensuite stabilis\u00e9e et, de 2018 \u00e0 2020, elle s'est \u00e9chang\u00e9e dans une fourchette de 18 \u00e0 20 pesos pour un dollar am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Printemps 2020 \u00e0 2023<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Peu apr\u00e8s que l'Organisation mondiale de la sant\u00e9 a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 la pand\u00e9mie de Covid le 11 mars 2020, le peso mexicain a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 perdre rapidement de sa valeur par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain, atteignant bri\u00e8vement 25 pesos \u00e0 la fin du mois de mars 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toutefois, \u00e0 la fin du printemps, le peso a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 retrouver rapidement son \u00e9quilibre et, en novembre 2020, la monnaie s'est \u00e0 nouveau stabilis\u00e9e pour s'\u00e9changer dans une fourchette de 19 \u00e0 20 pesos pour un dollar, tout en restant remarquablement stable. stable<\/a> dans cette fourchette au cours des deux ann\u00e9es difficiles qui ont suivi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En 2023, le peso a continu\u00e9 \u00e0 se renforcer par rapport au dollar, r\u00e9p\u00e9tant une tendance similaire \u00e0 celle observ\u00e9e entre 2014 et 2017 ; fin f\u00e9vrier, la monnaie a atteint un r\u00e9cent sommet de 17,95 - un rallye qui a donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 l'expression \"peso de l'Am\u00e9rique latine\". 'Super Peso<\/em>' trending on social media<\/a> en r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la forte performance de la monnaie au cours des premiers mois de l'ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce graphique illustre<\/a> les montagnes russes - s\u00e9lectionnez \"toutes les ann\u00e9es\" pour voir les tendances depuis 1994.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu'est-ce qui influence la valeur du peso mexicain ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

En tant que monnaie flottante sur les march\u00e9s mondiaux des changes, la valeur du peso fluctue d'un jour \u00e0 l'autre (et m\u00eame d'une journ\u00e9e \u00e0 l'autre). Bien que ce soient les grosses transactions de plusieurs millions de dollars effectu\u00e9es par les banques et les grandes entreprises qui influencent le taux de fa\u00e7on significative, les indicateurs macro\u00e9conomiques tels que l'inflation, les exportations, les prix du p\u00e9trole, les envois de fonds en devises \u00e9trang\u00e8res (principalement des dollars am\u00e9ricains envoy\u00e9s au Mexique par des personnes vivant \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger) et le tourisme international contribuent tous \u00e0 la valeur actuelle du peso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comprendre les paires de devises<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

La plupart des transactions sur le peso se font par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain, et les taux par rapport \u00e0 d'autres devises telles que la livre sterling, le dollar canadien ou l'euro, sont simplement une combinaison des deux taux, ou \"paires de devises\" comme on les appelle dans le monde du commerce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ainsi, si le dollar canadien augmente par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain, il sera \u00e9galement plus co\u00fbteux d'acheter des dollars canadiens avec des pesos, sauf si<\/em> le peso avait \u00e9galement augment\u00e9 par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain. Il n'y a pas de r\u00e8gles fixes en la mati\u00e8re. Parfois, le peso peut s'appr\u00e9cier et d'autres se d\u00e9pr\u00e9cier par rapport \u00e0 la devise am\u00e9ricaine, d'autres fois, ils \u00e9volueront dans la m\u00eame direction. Cela peut d\u00e9pendre de beaucoup de choses diff\u00e9rentes. Parfois, les raisons du changement sont locales, parfois elles sont mondiales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pr\u00e9visions concernant la valeur du peso mexicain
<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Les avis divergent sur la question de savoir si le peso est sur\u00e9valu\u00e9 ou sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9 au taux de change actuel. Diff\u00e9rents \u00e9conomistes, y compris ceux de la Banque du Mexique, utilisent des crit\u00e8res diff\u00e9rents pour calculer ce qu'ils estiment \u00eatre la juste valeur d'une monnaie, et obtiennent donc des r\u00e9sultats diff\u00e9rents et publient ces estimations en cons\u00e9quence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comme nous l'avons mentionn\u00e9 dans\u00a0l'article de commentaire sur le peso 2023<\/a>Les \u00e9conomistes pr\u00e9voient un nouvel affaiblissement du peso, l'estimation m\u00e9diane pr\u00e9voyant que le peso terminera l'ann\u00e9e autour de 20,80 pour un dollar ; mais la v\u00e9rit\u00e9 est que personne ne peut pr\u00e9dire sa valeur future avec un degr\u00e9 de pr\u00e9cision significatif - et un coup d'\u0153il sur les estimations des ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes par les m\u00eames groupes d'\"experts\" le confirme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source: Le S\u00faper Peso et une visite historique de la monnaie mexicaine<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour les questions relatives \u00e0 biens immobiliers \u00e0 Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, ou real estate in Bahia de Banderas<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, property management<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, buying houses in Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, buying condos in Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong> or the surrounding areas Mexpat Realtors in Puerto Vallarta is a great resource call them or go to their website www.mexpatrealtors.com<\/a> for more information<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A brief glance back over 70 years of exchange rate fluctuations reveals a pattern that’s woven into the tapestry of Mexico\u2019s peso Mexico\u2019s peso has had an assorted history against the US dollar. Periods of stability have been followed by periods of great turmoil \u2014and resulting devaluations\u2014 followed by rallies and stabilization. An irony \u2014economists […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16598,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"class_list":["post-16461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mexico"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMexpat Realtors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/fr\/the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The\u00a0S\u00faper Peso\u00a0and a Historical Tour of Mexico\u2019s Currency - 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