{"id":16461,"date":"2023-04-13T11:26:21","date_gmt":"2023-04-13T17:26:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/?p=16461"},"modified":"2023-04-18T10:33:09","modified_gmt":"2023-04-18T16:33:09","slug":"the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/es\/the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency\/","title":{"rendered":"El S\u00faper Peso y un recorrido hist\u00f3rico por la moneda mexicana"},"content":{"rendered":"

A brief glance back over 70 years of exchange rate fluctuations reveals a pattern that\u2019s woven into the tapestry of Mexico\u2019s peso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mexico\u2019s peso has had an assorted history against the US dollar. Periods of stability have been followed by periods of great turmoil \u2014and resulting devaluations\u2014 followed by rallies and stabilization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An irony \u2014economists would say corollary\u2014 is that the only times the peso has gone through periods of appreciation against the dollar has been in the decades when it was allowed to float freely, with no exchange controls in place, few or no price controls in the domestic market, and no restrictions on withdrawing capital or profits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From controlled exchange rates to free-floating currency<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Over the last seven decades or so, different governments have applied different measures for managing the peso\u2019s exchange rate, depending on their perception of the country\u2019s needs at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From 1954 to 1976, the Mexican peso was held at a fixed rate of 12.50 (old pesos<\/a>) to the US dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A devaluation in 1976<\/a> was followed by a long period of different exchange controls which included outright restrictions at times, multiple rates at others, and a system of \u2018exchange rate bands\u2019 that allowed a steady but gradual depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A continuing series of devaluations through the late 1970s and 1980s \u2014some major, some controlled\u2014 culminated in an economic blowout<\/a> in December 1994, when the country\u2019s reserves became depleted following a year of capital flight, and that led to a free-floating exchange rate that has been maintained ever since, with the central bank only intervening in times of distress in markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mexico\u2019s peso from the late 1990s to 2010<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

After briefly reaching 11.50 to the dollar in the late 1990s, the peso had several years of ups and downs, gaining to less than 10 to the dollar just before the global economic crisis of 2008. Since that crisis originated in the US, its effect on Mexico was much greater than it was on other countries which have fewer (or smaller) trade and investment ties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The currency\u2019s value buckled in August of 2008, falling from 10 to more than 15 pesos per dollar in March of 2009, as investors sold Mexican stocks and bonds, often for cash to change back to dollars to meet other obligations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The decade from 2010 to 2020<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Mexico survived the 2008 crisis largely intact, and by October 2010 the peso recovered about half of its lost value, trading at around 12.50 to the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From 2011 to 2014, the currency stabilized and traded inside a range of 13 and 14 pesos to the dollar; but in late summer of 2014, the peso began to slide again, and in November of that year it broke the psychologically significant \u201820-to-1\u2019 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The peso continued to weaken throughout 2015 and 2016 and, after briefly touching a new low of 21.50 in January 2017, the peso began a robust rally, and by September 2017 it was trading at around 17.60 on foreign exchange markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The currency then stabilized again and from 2018 to 2020 it traded in a range of 18 and 20 pesos to the US dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spring of 2020 through 2023<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Soon after the World Health Organization declared Covid a pandemic on March 11, 2020, the Mexican peso began to experience a rapid decline in value against the US dollar\u2014briefly touching 25 pesos by the end of March 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, in late spring the peso began to quickly recover its poise, and by November 2020 the currency stabilized again to trade in a range of between 19 and 20 pesos to the dollar\u2014and remained remarkably estable<\/a> in that range during the two difficult years that followed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2023 the peso has continued to strengthen against the dollar, repeating a similar pattern it displayed between 2014 and 2017; in late February the currency touched a recent high of 17.95\u2014a rally that got the term \u2018Super Peso<\/em>\u2019 trending on social media<\/a> in response to the currency\u2019s strong performance in the first few months of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This chart illustrates<\/a> the roller coaster ride\u2014select \u2018all years\u2019 to see the trends since 1994.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What influences the value of Mexico\u2019s peso<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

As a free-floating currency on world foreign exchange markets, the peso\u2019s value fluctuates from day-to-day (and even intra-day), and although it\u2019s the large, multi-million-dollar transactions by banks and big corporations that significantly influence the rate, macro-economic indicators including inflation, exports, oil prices, foreign currency remittances (mostly US dollars sent to Mexico by people from abroad), and international tourism all contribute the peso\u2019s current value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Understanding currency pairs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Most of the peso trading is done against the US dollar, and rates vis-\u00e0-vis other currencies such as the British pound, the Canadian dollar or the euro, are simply a combination of the two rates, or \u201ccurrency pairs\u201d as they are known in the trading world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thus, if the Canadian dollar rises relative to the US dollar, it would also be more expensive to buy Canadian dollars with pesos, unless<\/em> the peso had also risen against the US dollar. There are no fixed rules about that. Sometimes the peso can appreciate while others depreciate against the US currency, other times they will move in the same direction. It can depend on many different things. Occasionally the reasons for the change are local, and other times they are global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Predictions for the value Mexico\u2019s peso
<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

There are varying views on whether the peso is over- or under-valued at the present exchange rate. Different economists, including those at the Bank of Mexico, use different criteria to calculate what they believe a currency\u2019s fair value ought to be, and therefore come up with different results and publish those estimates accordingly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we mentioned in\u00a0the 2023 peso commentary article<\/a>, economists are predicting that the peso will weaken again, with the median estimate for the peso to end this year around 20.80 to the dollar; but the simple truth of the matter is that no one can foretell its future value with any meaningful degree of precision\u2014and a glance back at previous years\u2019 estimates by the same groups of\u00a0 \u2018experts\u2019 confirms that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fuente: The S\u00faper Peso and a Historical Tour of Mexico\u2019s Currency<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para asuntos relacionados con bienes ra\u00edces en Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, o real estate in Bahia de Banderas<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, property management<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, buying houses in Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, buying condos in Puerto Vallarta<\/a><\/em><\/strong> or the surrounding areas Mexpat Realtors in Puerto Vallarta is a great resource call them or go to their website www.mexpatrealtors.com<\/a> for more information<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A brief glance back over 70 years of exchange rate fluctuations reveals a pattern that’s woven into the tapestry of Mexico\u2019s peso Mexico\u2019s peso has had an assorted history against the US dollar. Periods of stability have been followed by periods of great turmoil \u2014and resulting devaluations\u2014 followed by rallies and stabilization. An irony \u2014economists […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16598,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"class_list":["post-16461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mexico"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMexpat Realtors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mexpatrealtors.com\/es\/the-super-peso-and-a-historical-tour-of-mexicos-currency\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The\u00a0S\u00faper Peso\u00a0and a Historical Tour of Mexico\u2019s Currency - 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